Our sophisticated, rule-based approach to investing is not influenced by conventional market narrative, and is free from cognitive biases and emotional influences. We make investment decisions solely using scientific, quantitative methods.
Kelonia’s investment program has been designed to exploit recurring market inefficiencies and persistent risk premia. Unlike many systematic managers, who rely predominantly on individual factors or investment styles, we believe that combining multiple complementary and uncorrelated sources of return produces superior results over time.
Our investment process is empirically robust, theoretically sound and, we believe, well-positioned to deliver solid returns in today’s market environment.
Focus, discipline, and a commitment to quality and innovation represent key elements of our philosophy. Kelonia’s investment approach is rooted in the idea that markets are complex adaptive systems, and that they exhibit occasional inefficiencies that can be exploited through active investment approaches. We believe true alpha-generating strategies still hold a place in investors’ portfolios, and deliver excess returns that cannot be captured through conventional 'alternative risk premia' approaches. At Kelonia, we treat our investors as partners, and invest our own assets right beside those of our clients.
What distinguishes Kelonia’s approach to managed futures is the use of a sophisticated noise classification and noise measurement framework, built upon the notion of long memory and the fractional Brownian motion theory developed by B. Mandelbrot.
The program employs a true blend of pattern-based momentum, failed-momentum and contrarian strategies, all seamlessly integrated across different bands of the noise spectrum. Our models are devoid of technical price-based indicators, and provide for a differentiated approach to quantitative futures investing compared to classic trend-following CTAs.
All strategies are built to systematically adapt to changes in market conditions and display a high degree of stability over time. Execution and risk management are entirely automated, utilising a state-of-the-art IT infrastructure and in-house proprietary software.
Our investment program exhibits a zero-to-negative correlation to the global equity markets, and a correlation of 0.4–0.5 to other managers in the global macro and managed futures spaces. From the top down, the program has been designed to act as a true portfolio diversifier, and offers unique return characteristics that are additive to an already allocated portfolio of CTAs.
By combining multiple alpha sources and a robust noise classification framework, we believe Kelonia is well positioned to deliver consistent returns in a broad range of environments. Our self-adaptive models are built to dynamically adjust to new market conditions, including changes in market noise levels, idiosyncratic volatility, and underlying term structure.
Fixed income and equity market downturns can have a profound impact on wealth creation during an investor's lifecycle. We have designed our investment program to yield positive returns during normal market conditions, while at the same time offering valuable hedging characteristics and risk mitigation benefits during sustained market corrections.
Deconstructing Noise - A closer look at the notion of noise, its definition and potential impact in today's market environment
A Brief History of Long Memory: Hurst, Mandelbrot and the Road to ARFIMA
The Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Market Efficiency from an Evolutionary Perspective
A Primer on Alternative Risk Premia
Algorithm Aversion: People Erroneously Avoid Algorithms After Seeing Them Err
The Probability of Backtest Overfitting